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Breaking down Ravens’ playoff outlook for Week 17

The Baltimore Ravens have been one of the most up-and-down teams in the NFL during the 2025 season. To avoid disappointment, the Ravens are going to need an upswing fast to make it into the playoff field.

The Ravens are presently on the outside looking in of the AFC playoff picture. They have dropped three of their last four games following a five-game winning streak that catapulted them into a tight battle atop their division against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Baltimore’s recent downturn has pushed it to the brink of elimination. The team has no room for error over its final two games and will need help to have any shot of overtaking Pittsburgh in AFC North race.

Here’s a breakdown of the Ravens’ playoff chances and what their path into the 2025 NFL postseason looks like with just two weeks of regular-season action remaining.

Ravens playoff chances

The Raven have an estimated 9% chance to make the playoffs entering Week 17, according to the NFL’s Next Gen Stats. A loss to Green Bay would eliminate them from postseason contention, so they have to beat the Packers on Saturday to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Ravens playoff odds

The Ravens entered Week 17 with +800 odds make the postseason, per odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. That gives them an 11.11% implied probability to earn a playoff berth.

Ravens playoff scenarios

The Ravens have just one path to a potential postseason berth in 2025. They have to overtake the Steelers in the AFC North race and get into the AFC playoffs as the conference’s No. 4 seed.

Below is a look at what it will take for the Ravens to get into the playoffs:

Ravens win final two games AND
Steelers lose to Cleveland Browns in Week 17

The Ravens would have remained in control of their playoff chances had they beaten the New England Patriots in Week 16. Winning out would’ve given Baltimore a chance to overtake Pittsburgh in the 11th hour with a head-to-head victory over its rival in Week 18.

Instead, the Ravens will be relying on getting help from the Cleveland Browns to potentially make it into the postseason.

AFC North standings

The Ravens enter Week 17 in second place of the AFC North standings. They will remain there regardless of their result against the Packers, as they are two full games behind the Steelers in the divisional race.

This is what the AFC North standings currently look like:

Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6)
Baltimore Ravens (7-8)
Cincinnati Bengals (5-10)
Cleveland Browns (3-12)

The Ravens can climb into first place in the AFC North if they win out and the Steelers lose out. That would make it so the teams have split the season series while giving Baltimore a superior divisional record over its rival.

That said, the Steelers are currently in possession of a head-to-head tiebreaker over the Ravens and sport a better divisional record (3-1) than the Ravens (3-2). So, Pittsburgh holds a solid edge entering the final two weeks of the 2025 NFL season.

Ravens remaining schedule

Baltimore has the 10th-hardest end-of-season slate in the league, according to Tankathon rankings. The Ravens will play two nine-win teams to finish the season, with their Week 17 showdown with the Packers taking place on the road at Lambeau Field.

Here’s a look at how Baltimore finishes the regular season:

Week 17: at Green Bay Packers (9-5-1)
Week 18: at Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6)

Steelers remaining schedule

By comparison, the Steelers have the eighth-easiest remaining schedule in the NFL, per Tankathon. So long as they don’t lose to the 3-12 Browns in Week 17, they will win the AFC North for the first time since 2020.

Below is a look at the Steelers’ full schedule:

Week 17: at Cleveland Browns (3-12)
Week 18: vs. Baltimore Ravens (7-8)

NFL playoff picture

Here’s how the AFC and NFC stack up for Week 17:

AFC

Denver Broncos (13-3, AFC West leaders)*
New England Patriots (12-3, AFC East leaders)*
Jacksonville Jaguars (11-4, AFC South leaders)*
Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6, AFC North leaders)
Los Angeles Chargers (11-4, wild card No. 1)*
Buffalo Bills (11-4, wild card No. 2)*
Houston Texans (10-5, wild card No. 3)

In the hunt: Indianapolis Colts (8-7), Baltimore Ravens (7-8).

NFC

Seattle Seahawks (12-3, NFC West leaders)*
Chicago Bears (11-4, NFC North leaders)*
Philadelphia Eagles (10-5, NFC East winners)*
Carolina Panthers (8-7, NFC South leaders)
San Francisco 49ers (11-4, wild card No. 1)*
Los Angeles Rams (11-4, wild card No. 2)*
Green Bay Packers (9-5-1, wild card No. 3)*

In the hunt: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-8)

An asterisk (*) denotes teams that have clinched a playoff spot. Teams that have clinched division titles are noted accordingly.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

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